SSM-Audit – Executive Primer (00)

What changes (and what does not)

  • Numbers stay the same. Classical KPIs remain intact by construction: phi((m,a)) = m.
  • You gain a lane. A bounded stability lane a in (-1,+1) sits beside each KPI to show sturdiness vs. fragility at a glance.
  • You act on m, not a. The lane drives visibility, bands, and escalation policy; it does not overwrite m.

What you get on day 1

  • Earlier truth. Simple bands A++/A+/A0/A-/A-- reveal calm vs. fragile spans before surprises.
  • Order-invariant signal. Stream, batch, or shuffled rows produce the same lane.
  • Reproducibility. A tiny fingerprint travels with outputs.
# Order-invariant fuse (U/W rule)
a_out := tanh( (SUM w*atanh(a)) / max(SUM w, eps_w) )

# Reproducibility fingerprint
knobs_hash := sha256( ascii(canonical_json(knobs)) )

How to read the lane

# Bands (defaults)
A++: a>=0.75
A+ : a>=0.50
A0 : a>=0.25
A- : a>=0.10
else A--

# Hysteresis (anti-churn)
promote if delta_a >= +0.05
demote  if delta_a <= -0.05

Portfolio view (SDI)

# Order-invariant portfolio index across selected KPIs
a_sdi := tanh( (SUM atanh(a_i)) / n )

What good looks like

  • Steady majority in A0/A+ (or better) with small delta_a.
  • Flat to positive SDI over weeks (a_sdi near stable).
  • Localized dips that recover quickly (not systemic, not correlated).

What to escalate

  • Persistent A- pockets or any drift toward A--.
  • Downward slope such as slope_7d <= -0.02 on key KPIs or SDI.
  • Degrade patterns (for example, degrade_2of3) across related KPIs.

Pilot plan (10 days, no rewrites)

  1. Pick 3-5 KPIs (for example, AR collected/issued, refunds/chargebacks, forecast vs actual).
  2. Run once with the CLI (CSV in, CSV out) to publish a and band beside m.
  3. Review together using the bands and SDI page; note early warnings.
  4. Freeze knobs and stamp outputs if desired; share the evidence pack.

One-screen math (ASCII, unchanged across pages)

phi((m,a)) = m
a := clamp(a, -1+eps_a, +1-eps_a)
a_out := tanh( (SUM w*atanh(a)) / max(SUM w, eps_w) )
a_sdi := tanh( (SUM atanh(a_i)) / n )
# defaults
eps_a=1e-6
eps_w=1e-12
promote=+0.05
demote=-0.05


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